BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arlington Starmont

Class: 1A Class Rank: 14 Conference: Tri-Rivers Record: (22-7-0) Overall: (64-34-0) Overall Strength =   70.42

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Home    L *    44.67  20  28    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -25.58     17.58                      
 2 09/07/2001 Away    L      60.26   8  35   3A  6 ( 73- 24-  0) Marion                 -9.99    -17.01                      
 3 09/14/2001 Home    L * *  54.26   6  16   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -15.99      5.99                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    L      39.43   0  33   2A 12 ( 54- 43-  0) Dyersville Beckman    -30.82     -2.18                      
 5 09/28/2001 Home    L      44.15  36  38 3 2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -26.10     24.10                      
 6 10/05/2001 Away    W      71.19  34  26   2A 29 ( 36- 61-  0) South Winneshiek        0.93      7.07                      
 7 10/12/2001 Home    W      74.88  41  12   2A 53 ( 22- 69-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       4.63     24.37                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    L      68.45  22  43   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -1.80    -19.20                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    W   *  71.56  52  33   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR           1.31     17.69                      
10 09/06/2002 Away    W *    68.72  21   8    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          -1.53     14.53                      
11 09/13/2002 Home    L      66.21   8  26   3A  6 ( 73- 24-  0) Marion                 -4.05    -13.95                      
12 09/20/2002 Home    W   * 107.56  55   0   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR          37.31     17.69                      
13 09/27/2002 Away    W     102.94  54   0   2A 53 ( 22- 69-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac      32.68     21.32                      
14 10/04/2002 Home    W      64.90  20   7   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 -5.35     18.35                      
15 10/11/2002 Home    W      90.37  28   7   2A 12 ( 54- 43-  0) Dyersville Beckman     20.12      0.88                      
16 10/18/2002 Away    L      31.20  16  34   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -39.05     21.05                      
17 10/25/2002 Away    L      70.45  16  35   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette           0.20    -19.20                      
18 11/01/2002 Home    W      87.13  40  13   2A 29 ( 36- 61-  0) South Winneshiek       16.88     10.12                      
19 09/05/2003 Home    W *    55.67  32  29    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -14.58     17.58                      
20 09/12/2003 Away    L      55.26   0  32   3A  6 ( 73- 24-  0) Marion                -14.99    -17.01                      
21 09/19/2003 Away    W   *  74.62  27   8   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR           4.37     14.63                      
22 09/26/2003 Home    W      73.88  46  18   2A 53 ( 22- 69-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       3.63     24.37                      
23 10/03/2003 Away    W      67.95  20   7   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 -2.30     15.30                      
24 10/10/2003 Away    L      60.43  14  26   2A 12 ( 54- 43-  0) Dyersville Beckman     -9.82     -2.18                      
25 10/17/2003 Home    L      22.15  12  36   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -48.10     24.10                      
26 10/24/2003 Home    L      67.40  29  48   2A  1 ( 93- 20-  0) North Fayette          -2.86    -16.14                      
27 10/31/2003 Away    L      41.19   8  30   2A 29 ( 36- 61-  0) South Winneshiek      -29.07      7.07                      
28 09/03/2004 Home    W *    83.75  37   6   2A 42 ( 41- 54-  0) Cascade                13.49     17.51                      
29 09/10/2004 Away    W * *  68.32  20  19   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -1.93      2.93                      
30 09/17/2004 Home    W   *  94.56  48   6   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR          24.31     17.69                      
31 09/24/2004 Away    W   *  58.06  22  15   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue              -12.19     19.19                      
32 10/01/2004 Home    W * *  88.64  50   0   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             18.39     31.61                      
33 10/08/2004 Away    W      70.17  53   6    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        -0.08     47.08                      
34 10/15/2004 Home    L      55.55  14  20 2 2A 24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                -14.71      8.71                      
35 10/22/2004 Away    W     103.16  50   0   1A 40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   32.90     17.10                      
36 10/29/2004 Home    W   *  62.43  26  21   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -7.82     12.82                      
37 11/03/2004 Home    L      69.77  12  13   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina       -0.48     -0.52                      
38 09/02/2005 Away    W *   109.80  54   0   2A 42 ( 41- 54-  0) Cascade                39.55     14.45                      
39 09/09/2005 Home    W * *  71.26  26  19   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley        1.01      5.99                      
40 09/16/2005 Away    W   *  84.62  36   7   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR          14.37     14.63                      
41 09/23/2005 Home    W   *  84.01  43   7   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue               13.76     22.24                      
42 09/30/2005 Away    W * * 104.70  63   0   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             34.45     28.55                      
43 10/07/2005 Home    W      76.12  63   7    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland         5.87     50.13                      
44 10/14/2005 Away    W     118.60  54   0   2A 24 ( 53- 43-  0) Tipton                 48.35      5.65                      
45 10/21/2005 Home    W      87.10  37   0   1A 40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   16.85     20.15                      
46 10/28/2005 Away    W   *  99.48  51  12   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   29.23      9.77                      
47 11/02/2005 Home    L      56.77   0  14   2A  8 ( 86- 25-  0) Iowa City Regina      -13.48     -0.52                      
48 09/01/2006 Home    W *    70.27  44  20    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      0.02     23.98                      
49 09/08/2006 Away    W * *  94.32  41  14   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley       24.07      2.93                      
50 09/15/2006 Away    W      63.59  24  22 1 2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -6.66      8.66                      
51 09/22/2006 Home    W      82.08  36   6   1A 38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW           11.83     18.17                      
52 09/29/2006 Home    W      86.34  44   8    A 27 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center          16.09     19.91                      
53 10/06/2006 Away    L      36.12   0  35   1A 15 ( 72- 28-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -34.13     -0.87                      
54 10/13/2006 Away    W     112.20  63   0   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  41.95     21.05                      
55 10/20/2006 Home    L      52.59  14  34   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -17.67     -2.33                      
56 10/27/2006 Away    L      59.14  14  40   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -11.11    -14.89                      
57 08/31/2007 Away    L *    45.33  22  26    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -24.92     20.92                      
58 09/07/2007 Home    W * *  92.26  35   7   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley       22.01      5.99                      
59 09/14/2007 Home    W     107.53  55   6   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 37.28     11.72                      
60 09/21/2007 Away    W      72.14  47  30   1A 38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW            1.89     15.11                      
61 09/28/2007 Away    W      76.40  36  13    A 27 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center           6.15     16.85                      
62 10/05/2007 Home    W      85.07  36  19   1A 15 ( 72- 28-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     14.81      2.19                      
63 10/12/2007 Home    W      83.15  57  20   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  12.90     24.10                      
64 10/19/2007 Away    W      83.64  45  37   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford      13.39     -5.39                      
65 10/26/2007 Home    W      85.08  28  25   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP           14.83    -11.83                      
66 10/31/2007 Home    W      75.67  20  15   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar            5.42     -0.42                      
67 11/05/2007 Neutral L      48.84   8  27    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -21.41      2.41                      
68 08/29/2008 Away    L *    54.72   8   9    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -15.53     14.53  non-district        
69 09/05/2008 Home    L   *  45.40   6  30   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -24.85      0.85  non-district        
70 09/12/2008 Away    L * *  59.32   6  14   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -10.93      2.93                      
71 09/19/2008 Home    W   *  59.01  22  11   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue              -11.24     22.24                      
72 09/26/2008 Home    L   *  46.56  14  20   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR         -23.69     17.69                      
73 10/03/2008 Away    L *    39.56  26  32   1A 51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett             -30.69     24.69                      
74 10/10/2008 Home    L * *  31.64  28  35   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn            -38.61     31.61                      
75 10/17/2008 Home    L   *  40.43  12  29   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast  -29.82     12.82                      
76 10/24/2008 Away    W *    87.33  44   6    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     17.08     20.92                      
77 08/28/2009 Home    W *    55.67   9   6    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -14.58     17.58  nd                  
78 09/04/2009 Away    L   *  30.46   0  42   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -39.79     -2.21  nd                  
79 09/11/2009 Home    W * *  66.26   8   6   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -3.99      5.99                      
80 09/18/2009 Away    W   *  62.06  18   7   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue               -8.19     19.19                      
81 09/25/2009 Away    L   *  29.62   0  26   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR         -40.63     14.63                      
82 10/02/2009 Home    W *    84.51  42   0   1A 51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              14.25     27.75                      
83 10/09/2009 Away    W * *  51.70  16   6   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn            -18.55     28.55                      
84 10/16/2009 Away    L   *  59.48  12  13   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast  -10.77      9.77                      
85 10/23/2009 Home    W *    73.27  33   6    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      3.02     23.98                      
86 10/28/2009 Away    W      67.30  21   7    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           -2.95     16.95                      
87 11/02/2009 Away    L   *  51.62   9  13   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR         -18.63     14.63                      
88 08/27/2010 Home    W *    95.67  43   0    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          25.42     17.58  ND                  
89 09/03/2010 Away    W *    87.33  51  13    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     17.08     20.92  ND                  
90 09/10/2010 Home    W   *  69.56  30  13   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR          -0.69     17.69                      
91 09/17/2010 Away    W   *  79.48  32  13   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast    9.23      9.77                      
92 09/24/2010 Home    W * *  84.26  20   0   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley       14.01      5.99                      
93 10/01/2010 Away    W * *  83.70  42   0   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             13.45     28.55                      
94 10/08/2010 Home    W   *  78.40  37  28   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           8.15      0.85                      
95 10/15/2010 Away    W   *  99.06  48   0   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue               28.81     19.19                      
96 10/22/2010 Away    W   * 100.35  41  14   1A  9 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley          30.10     -3.10                      
97 10/27/2010 Home    W *    82.51  54  14   1A 51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              12.25     27.75                      
98 11/01/2010 Home    L      49.10  35  36 1 1A 40 ( 37- 57-  0) Stanwood North Cedar  -21.15     20.15                      
      Averages              70.42  29.2 16.9

Best game:  118.60 = 54 point win over Tipton
Worst game:  22.15 = 24 point loss to Jesup
Team stdev:  20.91