BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arlington Starmont
Class: 1A Class Rank: 15 Conference: 1A-5 Record: (26-10-0) Overall: (64-34-0) Overall Strength = 70.42
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2001 Home L 44.67 20 28 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan -25.58 17.58
2 09/07/2001 Away L 60.26 8 35 3A 7 ( 73- 24- 0) Marion -9.99 -17.01
3 09/14/2001 Home L * 54.26 6 16 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley -15.99 5.99
4 09/21/2001 Away L 39.43 0 33 2A 13 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman -30.82 -2.18
5 09/28/2001 Home L 44.15 36 38 3 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup -26.10 24.10
6 10/05/2001 Away W 71.19 34 26 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek 0.93 7.07
7 10/12/2001 Home W 74.88 41 12 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 4.63 24.37
8 10/19/2001 Away L 68.45 22 43 2A 3 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -1.80 -19.20
9 10/26/2001 Home W * 71.56 52 33 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR 1.31 17.69
10 09/06/2002 Away W 68.72 21 8 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan -1.53 14.53
11 09/13/2002 Home L 66.21 8 26 3A 7 ( 73- 24- 0) Marion -4.05 -13.95
12 09/20/2002 Home W * 107.56 55 0 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR 37.31 17.69
13 09/27/2002 Away W 102.94 54 0 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 32.68 21.32
14 10/04/2002 Home W 64.90 20 7 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson -5.35 18.35
15 10/11/2002 Home W 90.37 28 7 2A 13 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman 20.12 0.88
16 10/18/2002 Away L 31.20 16 34 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup -39.05 21.05
17 10/25/2002 Away L 70.45 16 35 2A 3 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette 0.20 -19.20
18 11/01/2002 Home W 87.13 40 13 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek 16.88 10.12
19 09/05/2003 Home W 55.67 32 29 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan -14.58 17.58
20 09/12/2003 Away L 55.26 0 32 3A 7 ( 73- 24- 0) Marion -14.99 -17.01
21 09/19/2003 Away W * 74.62 27 8 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR 4.37 14.63
22 09/26/2003 Home W 73.88 46 18 2A 53 ( 22- 69- 0) Monona MFL-MarMac 3.63 24.37
23 10/03/2003 Away W 67.95 20 7 1A 39 ( 29- 63- 0) Hudson -2.30 15.30
24 10/10/2003 Away L 60.43 14 26 2A 13 ( 54- 43- 0) Dyersville Beckman -9.82 -2.18
25 10/17/2003 Home L 22.15 12 36 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup -48.10 24.10
26 10/24/2003 Home L 67.40 29 48 2A 3 ( 93- 20- 0) North Fayette -2.86 -16.14
27 10/31/2003 Away L 41.19 8 30 2A 29 ( 36- 61- 0) South Winneshiek -29.07 7.07
28 09/03/2004 Home W 83.75 37 6 2A 42 ( 41- 54- 0) Cascade 13.49 17.51
29 09/10/2004 Away W * 68.32 20 19 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley -1.93 2.93
30 09/17/2004 Home W * 94.56 48 6 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR 24.31 17.69
31 09/24/2004 Away W * 58.06 22 15 1A 42 ( 42- 50- 0) Bellevue -12.19 19.19
32 10/01/2004 Home W * 88.64 50 0 1A 55 ( 31- 60- 0) North Linn 18.39 31.61
33 10/08/2004 Away W 70.17 53 6 8 52 ( 11- 79- 0) Wyoming Midland -0.08 47.08
34 10/15/2004 Home L 55.55 14 20 2 2A 24 ( 53- 43- 0) Tipton -14.71 8.71
35 10/22/2004 Away W 103.16 50 0 1A 40 ( 37- 57- 0) Stanwood North Cedar 32.90 17.10
36 10/29/2004 Home W * 62.43 26 21 1A 28 ( 69- 28- 0) Goose Lake Northeast -7.82 12.82
37 11/03/2004 Home L 69.77 12 13 2A 9 ( 86- 25- 0) Iowa City Regina -0.48 -0.52
38 09/02/2005 Away W 109.80 54 0 2A 42 ( 41- 54- 0) Cascade 39.55 14.45
39 09/09/2005 Home W * 71.26 26 19 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley 1.01 5.99
40 09/16/2005 Away W * 84.62 36 7 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR 14.37 14.63
41 09/23/2005 Home W * 84.01 43 7 1A 42 ( 42- 50- 0) Bellevue 13.76 22.24
42 09/30/2005 Away W * 104.70 63 0 1A 55 ( 31- 60- 0) North Linn 34.45 28.55
43 10/07/2005 Home W 76.12 63 7 8 52 ( 11- 79- 0) Wyoming Midland 5.87 50.13
44 10/14/2005 Away W 118.60 54 0 2A 24 ( 53- 43- 0) Tipton 48.35 5.65
45 10/21/2005 Home W 87.10 37 0 1A 40 ( 37- 57- 0) Stanwood North Cedar 16.85 20.15
46 10/28/2005 Away W * 99.48 51 12 1A 28 ( 69- 28- 0) Goose Lake Northeast 29.23 9.77
47 11/02/2005 Home L 56.77 0 14 2A 9 ( 86- 25- 0) Iowa City Regina -13.48 -0.52
48 09/01/2006 Home W 70.27 44 20 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 0.02 23.98
49 09/08/2006 Away W * 94.32 41 14 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley 24.07 2.93
50 09/15/2006 Away W 63.59 24 22 1 2A 34 ( 37- 54- 0) Denver -6.66 8.66
51 09/22/2006 Home W 82.08 36 6 1A 38 ( 42- 51- 0) Conrad BCLUW 11.83 18.17
52 09/29/2006 Home W 86.34 44 8 A 28 ( 32- 59- 0) Grundy Center 16.09 19.91
53 10/06/2006 Away L 36.12 0 35 ZZ 43 ( 72- 28- 0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R -34.13 -0.87
54 10/13/2006 Away W 112.20 63 0 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup 41.95 21.05
55 10/20/2006 Home L 52.59 14 34 1A 8 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford -17.67 -2.33
56 10/27/2006 Away L 59.14 14 40 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP -11.11 -14.89
57 08/31/2007 Away L 45.33 22 26 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg -24.92 20.92
58 09/07/2007 Home W * 92.26 35 7 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley 22.01 5.99
59 09/14/2007 Home W 107.53 55 6 2A 34 ( 37- 54- 0) Denver 37.28 11.72
60 09/21/2007 Away W 72.14 47 30 1A 38 ( 42- 51- 0) Conrad BCLUW 1.89 15.11
61 09/28/2007 Away W 76.40 36 13 A 28 ( 32- 59- 0) Grundy Center 6.15 16.85
62 10/05/2007 Home W 85.07 36 19 ZZ 43 ( 72- 28- 0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R 14.81 2.19
63 10/12/2007 Home W 83.15 57 20 2A 51 ( 28- 63- 0) Jesup 12.90 24.10
64 10/19/2007 Away W 83.64 45 37 1A 8 ( 75- 34- 0) Dike-New Hartford 13.39 -5.39
65 10/26/2007 Home W 85.08 28 25 1A 4 ( 89- 19- 0) Aplington AP 14.83 -11.83
66 10/31/2007 Home W 75.67 20 15 1A 9 ( 69- 33- 0) Saint Ansgar 5.42 -0.42
67 11/05/2007 Neutral L 48.84 8 27 A 7 ( 70- 35- 0) Mason City Newman -21.41 2.41
68 08/29/2008 Away L 54.72 8 9 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan -15.53 14.53 non-district
69 09/05/2008 Home L * 45.40 6 30 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley -24.85 0.85 non-district
70 09/12/2008 Away L * 59.32 6 14 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley -10.93 2.93
71 09/19/2008 Home W * 59.01 22 11 1A 42 ( 42- 50- 0) Bellevue -11.24 22.24
72 09/26/2008 Home L * 46.56 14 20 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR -23.69 17.69
73 10/03/2008 Away L 39.56 26 32 1A 51 ( 38- 55- 0) Alburnett -30.69 24.69
74 10/10/2008 Home L * 31.64 28 35 1A 55 ( 31- 60- 0) North Linn -38.61 31.61
75 10/17/2008 Home L * 40.43 12 29 1A 28 ( 69- 28- 0) Goose Lake Northeast -29.82 12.82
76 10/24/2008 Away W 87.33 44 6 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 17.08 20.92
77 08/28/2009 Home W 55.67 9 6 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan -14.58 17.58 nd
78 09/04/2009 Away L * 30.46 0 42 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley -39.79 -2.21 nd
79 09/11/2009 Home W * 66.26 8 6 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley -3.99 5.99
80 09/18/2009 Away W * 62.06 18 7 1A 42 ( 42- 50- 0) Bellevue -8.19 19.19
81 09/25/2009 Away L * 29.62 0 26 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR -40.63 14.63
82 10/02/2009 Home W 84.51 42 0 1A 51 ( 38- 55- 0) Alburnett 14.25 27.75
83 10/09/2009 Away W * 51.70 16 6 1A 55 ( 31- 60- 0) North Linn -18.55 28.55
84 10/16/2009 Away L * 59.48 12 13 1A 28 ( 69- 28- 0) Goose Lake Northeast -10.77 9.77
85 10/23/2009 Home W 73.27 33 6 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 3.02 23.98
86 10/28/2009 Away W 67.30 21 7 A 30 ( 47- 47- 0) Belle Plaine -2.95 16.95
87 11/02/2009 Away L * 51.62 9 13 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR -18.63 14.63
88 08/27/2010 Home W 95.67 43 0 A 24 ( 60- 38- 0) East Buchanan 25.42 17.58 ND
89 09/03/2010 Away W 87.33 51 13 A 31 ( 45- 49- 0) Edgewood-Colesburg 17.08 20.92 ND
90 09/10/2010 Home W * 69.56 30 13 1A 37 ( 50- 47- 0) Guttenberg CR -0.69 17.69
91 09/17/2010 Away W * 79.48 32 13 1A 28 ( 69- 28- 0) Goose Lake Northeast 9.23 9.77
92 09/24/2010 Home W * 84.26 20 0 1A 17 ( 56- 41- 0) Maquoketa Valley 14.01 5.99
93 10/01/2010 Away W * 83.70 42 0 1A 55 ( 31- 60- 0) North Linn 13.45 28.55
94 10/08/2010 Home W * 78.40 37 28 1A 13 ( 64- 32- 0) Turkey Valley 8.15 0.85
95 10/15/2010 Away W * 99.06 48 0 1A 42 ( 42- 50- 0) Bellevue 28.81 19.19
96 10/22/2010 Away W * 100.35 41 14 1A 10 ( 76- 30- 0) Wapsie Valley 30.10 -3.10
97 10/27/2010 Home W 82.51 54 14 1A 51 ( 38- 55- 0) Alburnett 12.25 27.75
98 11/01/2010 Home L 49.10 35 36 1 1A 40 ( 37- 57- 0) Stanwood North Cedar -21.15 20.15
Averages 70.42 29.2 16.9
Best game: 118.60 = 54 point win over Tipton
Worst game: 22.15 = 24 point loss to Jesup
Team stdev: 20.91